Florida Citrus Forecast Takes Another Fall

Citrus fruit drop

The latest Florida all orange forecast, at 141 million boxes, is down 1% from the January forecast and down 4% from last season’s final count.
Early, midseason, and navel varieties in Florida are forecast at 66 million boxes, which is unchanged from the January forecast but down 11% from last season.

Fruit droppage is the highest since the 1969-1970 season, while size is below average. This season’s epic fruit drop was the main topic of conversation at the recent Florida Citrus Show.

At 75 million boxes, the Valencia orange forecast is down 1% from last month’s estimate but up 4% from the 2011-2012 crop.

The forecast of all grapefruit production is unchanged at 18 million boxes.
Final fruit sizes for both white and colored grapefruit are the smallest in a series that began with the 1968-1969 season. Final droppage rates for both white and colored grapefruit are the highest in any season not affected by a freeze or hurricane.

The forecast of all tangerine production was lowered 100,000 boxes to 3.7 million boxes. The early tangerine forecast (Fallglo and Sunburst) is unchanged at 2 million boxes. Early tangerine harvest is complete for this season. The forecast of the later-maturing Honey variety was reduced to 1.7 million boxes.

The forecast of tangelo production was lowered 100,000 boxes to 1 million boxes.

Florida frozen concentrated orange juice yield forecast for the 2012-2013 season is 1.62 gallons per box, up 1% from the January forecast.

Click here for the detailed USDA estimate.

Topics: , ,

Leave a Reply

One comment on “Florida Citrus Forecast Takes Another Fall

  1. I think this problem is due to additional stress due to warmer than average temperatures due mainly to one nutritional deficiency, if anyone is interested in doing some field tests contact me.

Grapefruit & Specialty Stories
CitrusFlorida Orange Crop Now Projected To Be Lowest In Nearly 50 Years
May 12, 2015
Not since the 1965-1966 season have production numbers looked so bleak. Read More
CitrusFlorida Citrus Crop Holding On
February 10, 2015
Updated USDA forecast shows no change in orange and grapefruit yield. Read More
CitrusLatest Florida Citrus Forecast Hits Season’s First Snag
January 12, 2015
Overall orange production reduced by 5 million boxes. Read More
Grapefruit & SpecialtyFlorida Grapefruit Growers Feeling Good About Early Crop Forecasts
November 14, 2014
Producers, packers, and suppliers view initial USDA outlooks as positive predictor for future. Read More
CitrusElevated Expectations For Forthcoming Florida Citrus Crop
October 10, 2014
USDA’s first forecast comes in markedly higher than pundits’ pre-season predictions. Read More
CitrusFlorida Grapefruit Grower Goes All In To Save Groves
July 22, 2014
As HLB runs rampant, everything is on the table for Scott Lambeth when it comes to disease mitigation. Read More
The Latest
CitrusMarketing Order Amendments Referendum Set For Fresh Flo…
July 22, 2015
Changes include the authorization and regulation of new varieties. Read More
cluster of ripening Florida grapefruit
Grapefruit & SpecialtyEmergency Exemption OK’d For FireWall 50 WP To Combat C…
July 13, 2015
EPA issues specific exception under provisions of Section 18 of the Federal Insecticide, Fungicide, and Rodenticide Act for the use of product on up to 54,000 acres of fresh market fruit. Read More
squeezing an orange
CitrusFlorida Citrus Season Grinding Toward Sour Finish
June 10, 2015
USDA’s updated estimate keeps orange count in check at historically low total. Read More
CitrusFlorida Orange Crop Now Projected To Be Lowest In Nearl…
May 12, 2015
Not since the 1965-1966 season have production numbers looked so bleak. Read More
CitrusFlorida Citrus Crop Holding On
February 10, 2015
Updated USDA forecast shows no change in orange and grapefruit yield. Read More
CitrusLatest Florida Citrus Forecast Hits Season’s First Snag
January 12, 2015
Overall orange production reduced by 5 million boxes. Read More
Grapefruit & SpecialtyFlorida Grapefruit Growers Feeling Good About Early Cro…
November 14, 2014
Producers, packers, and suppliers view initial USDA outlooks as positive predictor for future. Read More
CitrusElevated Expectations For Forthcoming Florida Citrus Cr…
October 10, 2014
USDA’s first forecast comes in markedly higher than pundits’ pre-season predictions. Read More
CitrusFlorida Grapefruit Grower Goes All In To Save Groves
July 22, 2014
As HLB runs rampant, everything is on the table for Scott Lambeth when it comes to disease mitigation. Read More
CitrusSeason’s Final Florida Citrus Forecast Falls Flat
July 14, 2014
An increase of less than 1% puts a cap on rough production period. Read More
CitrusSizable Tumble Tallied In Latest Florida Citrus Crop Fo…
June 11, 2014
Greening pushes production estimates further into peril. Read More
CitrusFlorida’s Citrus Production Forecast Enjoys Rare Increa…
May 9, 2014
While only a 1% gain, a marked improvement over the previous month's 4 million box drop. Read More
CitrusSeminole Tribe Of Florida Acquires Majority Stake In Bl…
April 16, 2014
The investment further increases the Tribe’s juice and fruit portfolio. Read More
CitrusFlorida Partners With South Korea To Promote Grapefruit
April 16, 2014
Far East republic is the fastest growing trade market for agricultural exports from the Sunshine State. Read More
Citrus4 Million More Boxes Dropped From Latest Florida Citrus…
April 9, 2014
USDA stats show struggling Valencia crop accounting for ugly update. Read More
CitrusOpinion: Replanting Citrus Insane, Or Insanely Intellig…
March 25, 2014
Even in the throes of HLB, there is confidence growing in the industry's future. Read More
CitrusMarket Economist Examines The Citrus Planting Conundrum
March 14, 2014
Tree populations are on the decline, calling for action to reverse the trend. Read More