What NOAA is Expecting Winter 2018 to Look Like

According to forecasters at NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, the northern part of the U.S. could be in for a 2017-2018 winter that’s colder and wetter than normal, while the southern states might wind up high and dry.

Of course, a lot still depends on whether La Niña rears its head again. The influential climate phase, defined by a sustained cooling of sea surface temperatures in the equatorial Pacific, played a role in last season’s scenario. As of this posting, La Niña has a 55% to 65% chance of developing before winter sets in.

“If La Niña conditions develop, we predict it will be weak and potentially short-lived, but it could still shape the character of the upcoming winter,” stated Mike Halpert, Deputy Director of NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center. “Typical La Niña patterns during winter include above average precipitation and colder than average temperatures along the Northern Tier of the U.S. and below normal precipitation and drier conditions across the South.

So, you want the cold, hard truth? Here’s a summary of NOAA’s 2017-2018 U.S. Winter Outlook (December through February).

Precipitation

Temperature

Drought

The U.S. Winter Outlook will be updated on November 16.

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