Foreboding Forecast For 2013 Atlantic Hurricane Season

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According to Colorado State University climatologists Phil Klotzbach and Bill Gray, those living in hurricane zones along the East Coast and Gulf Coast are in for another long year. The extended range Atlantic Basin hurricane forecast indicates “enhanced activity” compared with recent (1981-2010) historical climate data.

2013 Atlantic Basin Seasonal Hurricane Forecast Specs

  • Named Storms: 18 
  • Hurricanes: 9 
  • Major Hurricanes (Category 3 or higher): 4

Probabilities For At Least One Major Hurricane To Make Landfall On The Following Coastal Areas

  • Entire U.S. coastline: 72% (average for last century is 52%)
  • U.S. East Coast Including Florida Peninsula: 48% (average for last century is 31%
  • Gulf Coast from the Florida Panhandle westward to Brownsville, TX: 47% (average for last century is 30%)

The above estimates are markedly higher when compared to the 2012 extended range outlook. Though initially calling for a below-average season, devastating storms like Sandy and Isaac made 2012 one for the meteorological recordbooks.

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According to the 2013 report, the prediction for an above-average hurricane season is due to the combination of an anomalously warm tropical Atlantic and a relatively low likelihood of an El Niño climate pattern.

Click here to see entire extended range forecast document. 

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