Citrus Crop Subtraction Factors Big in Latest USDA Forecast
January 14, 2022 It might be a new year according to the calendar, but the same plant health problems that have dogged the citrus industry in Florida for well more than a decade continue to march forward. The latest crop forecast from USDA indicates production numbers still on a downward trend.
The January estimate has Florida all-oranges at 44.5 million boxes, a 1.5 million box reduction from last month’s report. If the amount stands, it will be 16% less than last season’s final production number. One million boxes alone were subtracted from the Valencia bucket for January. According to the report, current fruit drop is above average and projected to be above average at harvest.
Meanwhile, volatile economic conditions continue to push the inflation envelope. Marked price increases have been seen for fresh fruits and vegetables. Stats show though the top inflated price was for citrus — especially oranges — where prices were up nearly 9% between November and December.
“The disappointment of another decline in the forecast is hard to overstate,” says Shelley Rossetter, Assistant Director of Global Marketing at the Florida Department of Citrus. “But so too is the determination of Florida’s Citrus growers who remain focused on delivering great-tasting and high-quality fruit while – simultaneously – seeking new solutions to citrus greening.”
On the brighter side, the forecast for grapefruit remained steady from last month at 4.1 million boxes. That number would equal last season’s total output.
There are other positives, too, Rossetter adds.
“We are encouraged by the demand shown for Florida citrus at retail as Americans continue to seek out Florida orange juice for its health benefits and immune support at a rate that outpaces most previous years. The Department of Citrus is unwavering in its dedication to supporting grower efforts through robust marketing programs that keep Florida citrus top of mind and drive sales.”
The next citrus crop estimate from USDA is scheduled for Feb. 9.
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