Season’s Final Florida Citrus Forecast Falls Flat

Florida citrus packinghouseUSDA’s final 2013-2014 Florida all orange forecast increased slightly from last month’s estimate to 104.4 million boxes. The total is comprised of 53.3 million boxes of non-Valencia oranges (early, midseason, Navel, and Temple varieties), unchanged from last month, and 51.1 million boxes of Valencia oranges, up 100,000 boxes from last month.

The final forecast is down markedly from the initial estimate of 125 million boxes and down quite considerably from last season’s total of 133.6.

Back in January, we asked readers: Where do you think the 2013-2014 Florida citrus crop count will ultimately finish? According to the final estimate, it looks as though the poll’s consensus won out.

Where do you think the 2013-2014 Florida citrus crop count will ultimately finish?

  • 100 to 115 million boxes (69%, 45 Votes)
  • Less than 100 million boxes (22%, 14 Votes)
  • 115 to 125 million boxes (6%, 4 Votes)
  • More than 125 million boxes (3%, 2 Votes)

Total Voters: 65

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The forecast of all Florida grapefruit production is raised slightly to 15.65 million boxes. Of the total grapefruit forecast, 4.15 million boxes are white and 11.5 million boxes are the colored varieties. The Florida all tangerine forecast remains at 2.95 million boxes. The total is comprised of the early varieties (Fallglo and Sunburst) at 1.75 million boxes and the later maturing Honey tangerines at 1.2 million boxes. The forecast of all Florida tangelo production remains at 880 thousand boxes.

As reported by the Florida Department of Citrus, the final FCOJ yields are all oranges at 1.56 gallons per box.

Click here for the complete USDA report.

The initial forecast for the 2014-2015 season is scheduled to be released Oct. 10, 2014.

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